Silver compared Trump's win to George Bush's victory in 2004, which was a turning point for the Democratic Party ...

Nate Silver's newsletter carries 'good news' for Kamala Harris ... even though the hype around it was at its peak in the last ...

All hope for Democrats is not lost just yet, according to prominent statistician Nate Silver, who wrote a week after the 2024 ...

Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new ...

Pollster Nate Silver said he believes there is “hidden good news” for Democrats in the 2024 election results, despite the ...

The map was created before Election Day 2024 as a prediction of how women might vote.

Lichtman, a historian known for his predictions of presidential elections and who expected a Kamala Harris victory, is ...

The election result landslide that went mostly-unpredicted has political guessers fighting. Allan Lichtman, a famed election ...

It’s time. The campaign for the White House is almost over and, on Tuesday, the voters will deliver their verdict. Around 75 million people have already cast their ballots. The election will ...

As the 2024 presidential election approaches, two figures have emerged as prominent predictors, each wielding their unique ...

Silver: For what it’s worth, though, the models have been pretty momentumless lately, whereas Harris had been falling in mid-October. Prediction markets are also shifting more in line with the models, ...

The New York Times’ chief political analyst warned Sunday that pollsters may not have solved the underlying issues they ...