When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala ...

Nate Silver, a statistician and the founder of polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, has shared his thoughts on why it won't be so easy for Vice President Kamala Harris to beat Donald Trump in the ...

Polling guru Nate Silver lashed out at other survey junkies in his field for “cheating” in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election — accusing them of recycling some results to ...

Breaking News Reporter Statistics guru Nate Silver has thrown in the towel early this election night. Silver, 46, shared an update to his popular Substack just before 10:30 p.m. to announce he was ...

Renowned election guru Nate Silver called the race for the White House a “pure toss-up” Sunday as he gave ex-President Donald Trump a slight edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in his ...

That’s what election prognosticator Nate Silver wrote after running his model for the final time this year. To get deep in the weeds, Silver ran 80,000 election simulations using his model ...

Nate Silver has unveiled his latest prediction ahead of the presidential election - suggesting that the outcome will practically be a coin flip. The polling guru gave former President Donald Trump ...

The remaining 270 simulations resulted in an Electoral College tie, Silver said, adding that he would usually only run 40,000 simulations. Nate Silver has shared his final polling model for the ...

Veteran pollster Nate Silver said his “gut” right now is that former President Trump will win the election in less than two weeks, but he cautioned against putting faith in anyone’s gut feeling.

Nate Silver said the campaign is closing with the winds at the sails of Vice President Kamala Harris. Last month, the statistician and blogger wrote a New York Times op-ed saying the race was ...

Polling expert Nate Silver said he sees "real movement" toward former President Donald Trump in recent polling data, signaling a shift in key swing states ahead of the 2024 presidential election.

Allan Lichtman and Nate Silver, will soon be put to the test. Lichtman, an American University professor who has correctly predicted 9 out of 10 of the last presidential elections, has forecasted ...